Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.191615 0.221265 0.255442 0.298085 0.350339 0.412900 0.494411
2025-03-30 0.144373 0.181138 0.228457 0.295213 0.389302 0.520972 0.726443
2025-04-06 0.119241 0.158898 0.214306 0.300329 0.436362 0.654540 1.058103
2025-04-13 0.100514 0.139992 0.198634 0.296686 0.466851 0.773358 1.435356
2025-04-20 0.089042 0.128754 0.190941 0.301998 0.511965 0.934967 2.006774
2025-04-27 0.080793 0.120678 0.186093 0.310050 0.563848 1.134014 2.840138
2025-05-04 0.073987 0.113643 0.181358 0.316639 0.614699 1.358191 3.998693
2025-05-11 0.068677 0.108200 0.178235 0.325270 0.673023 1.637010 5.759913
2025-05-18 0.063601 0.102392 0.173349 0.328945 0.721185 1.921595 8.118544
2025-05-25 0.059051 0.096896 0.168110 0.330534 0.764953 2.227588 11.415372
2025-06-01 0.054739 0.091296 0.161787 0.328196 0.797490 2.524026 15.736559
2025-06-08 0.050670 0.085691 0.154643 0.322364 0.818076 2.796123 21.206402
2025-06-15 0.048371 0.083292 0.153959 0.332823 0.896292 3.418344 35.286529
2025-06-22 0.044953 0.078359 0.147228 0.326392 0.916787 3.791758 50.457324
2025-06-29 0.042737 0.075595 0.144878 0.331269 0.980964 4.510247 87.106634
2025-07-06 0.040115 0.071746 0.139587 0.326861 1.008966 5.059355 138.357460
2025-07-13 0.038411 0.069625 0.137984 0.332795 1.082818 6.089454 284.870806
2025-07-20 0.037033 0.068053 0.137454 0.341896 1.176850 7.529220 746.387936
2025-07-27 0.035668 0.066374 0.136444 0.349362 1.269552 9.258872 2540.295153
2025-08-03 0.034518 0.065053 0.136144 0.359160 1.382044 11.665786 18294.116430
2025-08-10 0.033184 0.063201 0.134272 0.363334 1.469567 14.191208 653790.304086
2025-08-17 0.031845 0.061228 0.131854 0.365141 1.546939 17.042626 NaN
2025-08-24 0.030423 0.058951 0.128384 0.362484 1.597572 19.802072 NaN